After rising, dollar remains above R$ 5.60 on this Saturday

After closing high at R$ 5.65 on Thursday (11), the commercial dollar opened the session on Friday (12) at R$ 5.64.

One of the main points today is that investors are attentive to the unfolding of the tax package vote in the Senate and the disclosure of new economic indicators in Brazil and abroad.

Thursdays

Amid turbulence in the domestic and international scenarios, the dollar shot up against the real on Thursday, at the highest level since June 2025. The currency was driven by investors’ dissatisfaction with the government’s announced tax package and by the strengthening of the U.S. currency abroad.

On the stock exchange, Ibovespa fell, mainly under pressure from the fall in the shares of Banco do Brasil (BB), amid the fall in profit in the third quarter. In the international market, oil also closed up, in the face of tensions between Estados Unidos and Iran.

Numbers Thursday (12):

• Trade dollar: R$ 5,6507 (+1,58%);

• Ibovespa: 171,324.31 points (-0.47%);

• Financial volume of the exchange: R$ 32.24 billion;

• Overseas dollar (DXY): 103,160 points (+0.28%);

• WTI oil: US$ 88.74 (+2.55%);

• Brent oil: US$ 95.82 (+3.30%).

Câmbio

The commercial dollar closed the market with a 1.58% appreciation, quoted at R$ 5,6507. It was the highest level of closing of the US currency since June 2, 2025.

The pressure on the exchange rate came after the government presented, on Wednesday (11), a package of fiscal measures with potential impact between R$ 50 billion and R$ 60 billion in 2027. The proposals involve increased revenues and reduced expenditures, but do not foresee changes in primary outcome targets.

The market reaction was marked by concern about the scope of the measures and uncertainties about their approval in the Congresso Nacional.

Another pressure factor came from the international scene. The dollar gained strength in front of the main global currencies, while yields on Estados Unidos (Treasuries) Treasuries advanced.

The move came amid a reassessment of expectations for US interest rates. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, banco central dos Estados Unidos, have signaled concern over the persistence of inflation and the possibility of further rate increases.

In Brazil, the release of the National Broad Consumer Price Index (HICP) had a limited impact on the exchange rate. Official inflation rose 0.14% in October, after rising 0.82% in September. In 12 months, the indicator accumulated a 4.63% increase.

With information Agência Brasil

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