Paraná Pesquisas: Sandro Alex still hasn't burst Moro's electoral bubble, by Gleidson Carlos

The new Paraná Pesquisas shows that, at this moment, the race for the Iguazu Palace continues with an isolated leader.

Sérgio Moro appears with 45% of the voting intentions. Requião Filho has 24%. Sandro Alex, 17.5%. And only 4.9% of the electorate is still undecided.

The research is important because it portrays the scenario already at the beginning of electoral propaganda on radio and television. And, so far, Sandro Alex has yet to produce the movement your campaign needs.

It has not advanced on Requião Filho and, as a result, remains distant from Moro.

But another fact may be even more revealing. When the institute asks who the voter believes will win, regardless of who they want to vote for, 49.4% point to Sérgio Moro. Requião has 15.9% and Sandro Alex, 14.9%.

Research is a photograph of the moment. And the campaign can change.

But the photograph reveals a strategic problem for Sandro Alex.

He can grow, reduce the distance to Rekion and even dispute second place. But that alone does not put him on the path of victory.

Because who is at 45% is Moro.

Elections only change when someone can take votes from the leader. And at this time, Sandro Alex has yet to break through the electoral bubble of Sérgio Moro.

In politics, it is not enough to grow. You have to make the opponent fall.

And today, the biggest problem of Sandro Alex is precisely this: it is still not taking votes from those who need it to win.

The Instituto Paraná Pesquisas heard 1,280,000 voters between August 31 and September 2. The search margin of error is 2.8% up or down and the confidence index is 95%. The poll is registered with Justiça Eleitoral under the number PR-03399/2026.

 

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Also read: Surveys will measure the effects of electoral propaganda, by Gleidson Carlos