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Politics

Trump's Defeat Preserves Alliance with Bolsonaro

The Democratic victory in the U.S. legislative elections imposes limits on Trump's administration, but does not affect the legal situation of the Bolsonaro brothers. Eduardo has a Green Card and Flávio is a senator without convictions. Analysts see a possible focus of Trump on foreign policy.

Derrota de Trump preserva aliança com Bolsonaro
Crédito: www.gazetadopovo.com.br
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The victory of the Democratic Party in the legislative elections of the Estados Unidos, guaranteeing control of the House and Senate, imposes limits on the government of Donald Trump. Despite the internal political setback for Republicans in January 2027, the new configuration of the U.S. Congress does not alter the permanence of Eduardo and Flávio Bolsonaro in the country or interrupt Trump’s support for allies in Brazil.

Even with the Democratic majority in Congress starting in January, the legal situation of the brothers does not undergo immediate changes. Flávio Bolsonaro holds a senator’s term until February and has no convictions in Brazil that motivate extradition requests. Eduardo Bolsonaro holds the Green Card, a document that grants permanent and legal residence in the United States.

Limited impact on the Bolsonaro brothers

The Republican defeat in the US legislature does not pose a direct threat to the stay of the children of the former president Jair Bolsonaro on US soil. Flávio, as a senator of the Republic, enjoys prerogatives of the mandate and does not face criminal proceedings that justify any request for surrender to the Brazilian authorities. The source did not specify whether there are ongoing investigations against him.

Eduardo, in turn, maintains his status as a permanent resident thanks to the Green Card, which is not affected by changes in the composition of Congress. The legal permanence of both, therefore, remains unchanged, regardless of the new balance of forces in Washington.

Trump can look at foreign policy

Analysts estimate that Donald Trump’s loss of internal power may even encourage the Republican to focus more on foreign policy, giving visibility to the Brazilian opposition’s agenda as a way to maintain its global influence. This strategy could strengthen ties with allies like the Bolsonaro family, even without the control of the Legislative.

The Maga movement, acronym for “Make America Great Again,” is weakened electorally, but should not disappear from the political scene. The defeat in the midterm elections anticipates the internal dispute over the Republican Party’s leadership aiming for 2028, as the Constitution prohibits a third term for Trump.

Economy weighed in Republican defeat

The average American voter has been shown to be more concerned with pockets than with ideological issues. The high cost of living was the central pillar of the Republican defeat, intensified by the rise in fuel prices and the wear and tear generated by US military involvement in conflicts in the Oriente Médio, specifically against Iran.

The Trump administration failed to deliver the promised economic prosperity, allowing the left to react electorally by capitalizing on popular dissatisfaction with inflation and public spending in distant and unpopular wars. This adverse domestic scenario could lead the former president to seek symbolic victories abroad.

Internal Republican Dispute

With the impossibility of a third term, the Republican Party already glimpses Trump’s succession. The current vice president, JD Vance, will face the challenge of defending the legacy of management while trying to build leadership of his own. The internal fight should move the political backstage in the coming months.

Meanwhile, the relationship between Trump and the Bolsonaros remains stable, with no signs of rupture. The source did not detail whether there will be meetings or joint statements in the short term, but mutual support remains a pillar of the alliance between the American and Brazilian right.

For the reader of Ponta Grossa and the region, the unfolding of this dynamic can influence the local political debate, especially among supporters of the former president Jair Bolsonaro. Follow up on upcoming updates to the Boca no Trombone.

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